Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2026

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0
Sparta Prag
📅16/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.22/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.45
-8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Sparta Prag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0
AWAY Sparta Prag
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok nicked a narrow win over Sparta Prag 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 5-19.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sparta Prag?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Sparta Prag in the Friendlies on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 30%, draw 27%, Sparta Prag 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ BTTS Yes
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