Real Salt Lake 4-1 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.05
-29% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake swept aside Burnley 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Burnley?

Real Salt Lake 4-1 Burnley in the Friendlies on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 42%, draw 23%, Burnley 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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