Manchester United 1-0 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

Manchester United
1-0 HT 0-0
Fulham
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
9%
10.05
X/X
9%
5.86
2/1
5%
20.95
2/2
14%
7.01
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.93/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.69
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.5 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Manchester United vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fulham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
411 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 1-2 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
04.11.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
28.05.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
19.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham FAK
13.11.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
18.05.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP

Manchester United 1-0 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
1-0
AWAY Fulham
2.43 xG 0.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
408 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United squeezed past Fulham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Manchester United had 55% of the ball to Fulham's 45%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.43 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Manchester United and 1.00 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Fulham?

Manchester United 1-0 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 46%, draw 22%, Fulham 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✗ Over 2.5
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