Manchester United 1-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

Manchester United
1-2 HT 0-0
Fulham
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manchester United vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
9%
9.22
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
11%
6.31
2/X
6%
14.5
Value flag · 1/X at 14.05 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.89/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.77
-2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.1 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Manchester United vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fulham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.03 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
425 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
28.05.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
19.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham FAK
13.11.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
18.05.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.01.2021 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 1-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 1-2 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
1-2
AWAY Fulham
1.72 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 9
464 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham edged past Manchester United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United had 57% of the ball to Fulham's 43%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 1.72 to 1.20 — on chances, Manchester United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Manchester United and 0.83 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Fulham?

Manchester United 1-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 50%, draw 24%, Fulham 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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