Crystal Palace 3-0 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

Crystal Palace
3-0 HT 0-0
Burnley
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.27
X/2
10%
7.36
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
5.84
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.24
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.1 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Crystal Palace vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Burnley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Burnley Burnley 0-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.02.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
20.11.2021 Burnley Burnley 3-3 HT 2-3 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
13.02.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-3 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNP
23.11.2020 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
29.06.2020 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP

Crystal Palace 3-0 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
3-0
AWAY Burnley
2.40 xG 0.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 3
377 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
43 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace swept aside Burnley 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 56% of the ball to Burnley's 44%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.40 to 0.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.50 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Crystal Palace 3-0 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 41%, draw 26%, Burnley 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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