Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 3-0
Bournemouth
İNP
1-4
HT 0-3
Manchester City
İNP
4-0
HT 3-0
Bournemouth
İNP
2-1
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNLK
2-1
HT 2-0
Bournemouth
İNP
1-3
HT 1-2
Manchester City
İNP
Bournemouth 0-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City squeezed past Bournemouth 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bournemouth had 38% of the ball to Manchester City's 62%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.93 to 1.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bournemouth and 3.50 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Bournemouth 0-1 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 25%, draw 25%, Manchester City 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.