Cork City 0-1 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 32.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
57%
-14.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 61%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.22
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Derry City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.70 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 300
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
23.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
21.04.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-3 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
24.02.2023 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
26.08.2022 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRK
09.11.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City nicked a narrow win over Cork City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cork City and 1.83 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Derry City?

Cork City 0-1 Derry City in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cork City 29%, draw 29%, Derry City 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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