Waterford FC vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Waterford FC v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Athlone Town
İR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Waterford FC
İR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Athlone Town
İR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Waterford FC
İR1
4-3
HT 4-0
Athlone Town
İR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Waterford FC
İR1
Waterford FC 2-3 Athlone Town — Actual Match Statistics
Athlone Town edged past Waterford FC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Waterford FC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Waterford FC had 56% of the ball to Athlone Town's 44%, shots finished 17-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Waterford FC and 1.33 for Athlone Town.
What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Athlone Town?
Waterford FC 2-3 Athlone Town in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Athlone Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 55%, draw 23%, Athlone Town 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.