Ahlafors IF 1-1 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.91/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.50
+40% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-0 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 3-2 HT 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-2 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF and Stenungsund couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Ahlafors IF carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ahlafors IF and 1.00 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Stenungsund?

Ahlafors IF 1-1 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 58%, draw 20%, Stenungsund 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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