16/08/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Kriens vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
26%
Draw
24%
48%
Away Win
49%
52%
Under 2.5
38%
48%
Over 2.5
62%
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
50%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kriens v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kriens
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bellinzona
EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
286 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
348 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Kriens vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kriens
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Bellinzona
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
The Meetings
19.01.2019
Kriens
2-1
HT 1-1
Bellinzona
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-1
Bellinzona
HAZ
POST-MATCH
Kriens vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bellinzona edged past Kriens 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bellinzona as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Kriens vs Bellinzona?
Kriens 1-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland - Cup on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kriens vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kriens 26%, draw 26%, Bellinzona 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bellinzona)
✗ Under 2.5
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İSVK
More Switzerland - Cup
16 Aug 2024