Lancy 3-3 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
66%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+10.2pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.6pp
66%
Away Win
85%
-19.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancy EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 91%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+56% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
208 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 531 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lancy
3-3
AWAY Etoile Carouge
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lancy vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancy and Etoile Carouge shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Carouge carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lancy had 32% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 68%, shots finished 14-18.

What was the final score of Lancy vs Etoile Carouge?

Lancy 3-3 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - Cup on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancy vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lancy 15%, draw 19%, Etoile Carouge 66%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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