Reynir Sandgerdi 1-4 UMF Tindastoll — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
56%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-10.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 71%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.68/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +34%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UMF Tindastoll
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.06.2024 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll 2-1 HT 1-1 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi İZL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi
1-4
AWAY UMF Tindastoll
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll swept aside Reynir Sandgerdi 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reynir Sandgerdi had 58% of the ball to UMF Tindastoll's 42%, shots finished 10-20.

What was the final score of Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll?

Reynir Sandgerdi 1-4 UMF Tindastoll in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll?

Before kick-off our model rated an UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Reynir Sandgerdi 24%, draw 20%, UMF Tindastoll 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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