Austria Lustenau 2-2 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

Austria Lustenau
2-2 HT 1-1
Rapid Wien II
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Wien II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X
7%
5.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.3
2/2
10%
5.51
2/X
9%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Rapid Wien II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.69/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.39
+2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
17.4 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Wien II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.03.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
28.08.2021 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-2 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
10.04.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
26.10.2020 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau and Rapid Wien II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Lustenau at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.25 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Wien II?

Austria Lustenau 2-2 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 53%, draw 22%, Rapid Wien II 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Lustenau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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