FC Liefering 2-2 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 25% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.38
X/2
10%
8.88
X/X
13%
6.05
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
11%
5.92
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.86/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.47
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.1 Crosses 12.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bregenz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.78
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
392 Passes 125
77% Pass Accuracy 55%
32 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
18.08.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Liefering
2-2
AWAY Bregenz
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering and Bregenz couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Liefering had 64% of the ball to Bregenz's 36%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Liefering had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Liefering and 1.00 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Bregenz?

FC Liefering 2-2 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 48%, draw 27%, Bregenz 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Liefering), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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