Bregenz 1-1 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

Bregenz
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Liefering
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bregenz vs FC Liefering Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.77
X/2
15%
4.83
X/X
8%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.0
2/2
21%
2.86
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bregenz v FC Liefering — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 48%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.30/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.45
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
– Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bregenz vs FC Liefering Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.47
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
127 Passes 459
54% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
18.08.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2

Bregenz 1-1 FC Liefering — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bregenz
1-1
AWAY FC Liefering
1.00 xG 1.85
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 14
123 Passes 326
56% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 50
4 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz and FC Liefering couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bregenz had 32% of the ball to FC Liefering's 68%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 1.00 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs FC Liefering?

Bregenz 1-1 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 34%, draw 23%, FC Liefering 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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