St. Pölten 2-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.1
X/2
12%
8.52
X/X
12%
5.03
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
11%
6.49
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.54/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 67%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
13.0 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
20.08.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
21.05.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
19.08.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
29.04.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-1 HT 2-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
24.10.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
06.05.2016 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
2-0
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten saw off Kapfenberger SV 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 74% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 26%, shots finished 25-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Pölten and 1.00 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Kapfenberger SV?

St. Pölten 2-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 46%, draw 26%, Kapfenberger SV 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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