Leoben 1-0 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

Leoben
1-0 HT 0-0
Ried
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
4.54
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
8%
6.17
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
10%
4.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.25
2/X
12%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leoben EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -8%
0.52/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
-59% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
Crosses 26.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leoben
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ried
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 8
7 Corners 6
18.08.2023 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Leoben Leoben AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leoben
1-0
AWAY Ried
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leoben vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leoben squeezed past Ried 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Leoben made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leoben had 46% of the ball to Ried's 54%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Leoben vs Ried?

Leoben 1-0 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leoben vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leoben 39%, draw 27%, Ried 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leoben), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leoben) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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