First Vienna 1-2 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.76
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 31% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.89
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.8
X/2
6%
6.78
X/X
14%
4.97
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -24%
1.60/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/2.35
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
22.0 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY SV Horn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 4-3 HT 1-2 SV Horn SV Horn HAZ
18.08.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 2-0 HT 2-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
28.04.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
16.09.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 0-3 HT 0-2 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
07.04.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 2-2 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
29.11.2013 SV Horn SV Horn 0-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
1-2
AWAY SV Horn
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn edged past First Vienna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was First Vienna at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, First Vienna had 65% of the ball to SV Horn's 35%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for First Vienna and 1.17 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs SV Horn?

First Vienna 1-2 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 46%, draw 28%, SV Horn 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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