RFC Seraing 0-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
1.20/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.60
-25% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
20.2 Crosses 12.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 2.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
310 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 40
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 0-3 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
26.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
0-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
0.72 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
369 Passes 412
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II got the better of RFC Seraing 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KRC Genk II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 48% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KRC Genk II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RFC Seraing and 2.00 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II?

RFC Seraing 0-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 30%, draw 24%, KRC Genk II 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KRC Genk II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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