Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -90%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
24.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 3-1 HT 1-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
0-1
AWAY Vukovar
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar edged past Radnik Sesvete 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Vukovar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 49% of the ball to Vukovar's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 1.50 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Vukovar?

Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 33%, draw 29%, Vukovar 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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