Sepahan 3-1 Chadormalu SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
7%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chadormalu SC EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Chadormalu SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan beat Chadormalu SC 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Chadormalu SC?

Sepahan 3-1 Chadormalu SC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Chadormalu SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 64%, draw 21%, Chadormalu SC 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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