Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 61%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
0.97/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.32
+61% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +77%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
15.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.11.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
09.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.50 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 26%, draw 26%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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