Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.96
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.38/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.37
+2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.11.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
09.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Shams Azar Qazvin 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 55%, draw 26%, Shams Azar Qazvin 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
19 Apr 2024
17:40 Foolad Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan Analysis →