Foolad Khuzestan 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
6.36
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.28/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.50
+31% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +69%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foolad Khuzestan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.11.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 3-0 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
13.02.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-0 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
05.09.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
18.02.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
01.11.2021 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
01.07.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-1 HT 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Foolad Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan edged past Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Mes Rafsanjan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foolad Khuzestan and 1.50 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Foolad Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Foolad Khuzestan 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foolad Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mes Rafsanjan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Foolad Khuzestan 29%, draw 31%, Mes Rafsanjan 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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