Umm Salal vs Al Shamal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Shamal — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Shamal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Al Shamal
KATYK
1-3
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Shamal
KAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Umm Salal
KAT
0-6
HT 0-2
Umm Salal
KAT
Umm Salal 3-2 Al Shamal — Actual Match Statistics
Umm Salal nicked a narrow win over Al Shamal 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Al Shamal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Umm Salal had 33% of the ball to Al Shamal's 67%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.13 to 2.06 — on chances, Al Shamal could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Umm Salal and 1.00 for Al Shamal.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?
Umm Salal 3-2 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 34%, draw 23%, Al Shamal 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shamal) went the other way.