Balzan FC 3-3 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.48/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.59
-46% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Birkirkara
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
29.10.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
15.02.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTAK
10.12.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
19.01.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 HT 0-2 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
3-3
AWAY Birkirkara
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC and Birkirkara couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Birkirkara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 49% of the ball to Birkirkara's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Birkirkara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Balzan FC and 2.20 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Birkirkara?

Balzan FC 3-3 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 28%, draw 30%, Birkirkara 42%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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