Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
1.49/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
+36% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +56%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.3 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 0.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 181
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-0 HT 2-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
24.09.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
08.05.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
01.08.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-2 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
06.03.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
13.09.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-2 HT 1-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
2-2
AWAY Sport Boys
1.62 xG 1.23
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
362 Passes 150
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo and Sport Boys shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cesar Vallejo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 68% of the ball to Sport Boys's 32%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.62 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesar Vallejo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 1.00 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Sport Boys?

Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 46%, draw 30%, Sport Boys 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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