ADT vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
ADT 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
ADT and Melgar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was ADT at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, ADT had 58% of the ball to Melgar's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.08 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for ADT and 2.20 for Melgar.
What was the final score of ADT vs Melgar?
ADT 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ADT 41%, draw 28%, Melgar 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ADT), BTTS No went the other way.