Melgar vs ADT Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v ADT — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs ADT Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
Melgar 3-1 ADT — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar got the better of ADT 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Melgar had 49% of the ball to ADT's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.33 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melgar and 0.25 for ADT.
What was the final score of Melgar vs ADT?
Melgar 3-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs ADT?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Melgar 51%, draw 25%, ADT 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.