Deportivo Garcilaso 2-2 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 43%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -20%
1.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.10
-58% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
25.1 Crosses 19.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 1.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
209 Passes 310
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.08.2023 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
01.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2-2
AWAY Universitario
2.25 xG 2.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
227 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso and Universitario shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 46% of the ball to Universitario's 54%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.25 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Deportivo Garcilaso 2-2 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 31%, draw 30%, Universitario 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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