Atletico Grau 1-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.92/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.29
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
27.3 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cienciano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
338 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
21.05.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
20.08.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
03.04.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-2 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
20.11.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
18.08.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
1-1
AWAY Cienciano
1.11 xG 0.66
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
374 Passes 142
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 11
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Cienciano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 68% of the ball to Cienciano's 32%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.11 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.67 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Cienciano?

Atletico Grau 1-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 45%, draw 26%, Cienciano 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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