Gil Vicente 4-2 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

Gil Vicente
4-2 HT 2-2
AVS
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Gil Vicente vs AVS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.5
X/1
13%
4.65
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 1/X at 13.5 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente v AVS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.1 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Gil Vicente 4-2 AVS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
4-2
AWAY AVS
2.38 xG 1.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
471 Passes 258
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente saw off AVS 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 61% of the ball to AVS's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.38 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs AVS?

Gil Vicente 4-2 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 40%, draw 29%, AVS 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✗ Under 2.5
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