Santa Clara 0-2 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

Santa Clara
0-2 HT 0-2
Porto
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Santa Clara vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.03
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
9%
15.7
X/1
11%
8.83
X/2
11%
3.94
X/X
13%
4.9
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.3
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.6pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Porto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.21/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
-21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
16.0 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Santa Clara vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.30 xG 2.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
174 Passes 468
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.02.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 1-0 Porto Porto POK
15.04.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
04.04.2022 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
07.11.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-3 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
26.10.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-1 HT 1-0 Porto Porto PORLC

Santa Clara 0-2 Porto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-2
AWAY Porto
0.75 xG 1.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
186 Passes 408
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto saw off Santa Clara 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara had 38% of the ball to Porto's 62%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara and 2.00 for Porto.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Porto?

Santa Clara 0-2 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 32%, draw 28%, Porto 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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