Santa Clara 1-2 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 29 Feb 2024

Santa Clara
1-2 HT 1-0
Porto
📅29/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Santa Clara vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
9%
+12.8pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.1pp
58%
Away Win
78%
-21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Porto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +76%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Santa Clara vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.44 xG 2.23
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
183 Passes 458
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
04.04.2022 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
07.11.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-3 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
26.10.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-1 HT 1-0 Porto Porto PORLC
03.04.2021 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara and 2.00 for Porto.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Porto?

Santa Clara 1-2 Porto in the Portugal - Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 22%, draw 20%, Porto 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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