Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
2-2
HT 2-0
Benfica
POR
2-2
HT 1-1
Sporting CP
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Sporting CP
PORLC
1-3
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
Sporting CP 2-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP squeezed past Benfica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sporting CP had 48% of the ball to Benfica's 52%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.28 to 0.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting CP and 1.67 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Sporting CP 2-1 Benfica in the Portugal - Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 41%, draw 26%, Benfica 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.