Rotor Volgograd 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Aug 2024

Rotor Volgograd
2-0 HT 1-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Rotor Volgograd vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotor Volgograd v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
0.81/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.75
-24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rotor Volgograd vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.02.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd HAZ
21.11.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
14.08.2021 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
21.09.2019 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
27.08.2017 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
31.03.2014 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1

Rotor Volgograd 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
2-0
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotor Volgograd saw off Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rotor Volgograd found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 37% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 63%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 1.50 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Rotor Volgograd 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 30%, draw 31%, Baltika Kaliningrad 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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