Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
14.08.2021 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
21.09.2019 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
27.08.2017 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
31.03.2014 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotor Volgograd edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Rotor Volgograd made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.80 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rotor Volgograd?

Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 Rotor Volgograd in the Friendlies on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 34%, draw 30%, Rotor Volgograd 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotor Volgograd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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