Liepaja 1-2 Sogdiana Jizzax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
27%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
74%
-22.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
10%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogdiana Jizzax EU Bookmakers 12%
-82% / -82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Sogdiana Jizzax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogdiana Jizzax edged past Liepaja 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Sogdiana Jizzax?

Liepaja 1-2 Sogdiana Jizzax in the Friendlies on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Sogdiana Jizzax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 53%, draw 20%, Sogdiana Jizzax 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ BTTS No
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