Konyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.47
1/2
8%
21.3
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
9%
8.88
X/2
20%
4.06
X/X
12%
5.78
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.21
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 58%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.12/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.05
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
17.5 Crosses 21.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
271 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-3 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
07.01.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
17.03.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.09.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
05.03.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
17.10.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
1-2
AWAY Galatasaray
1.78 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
213 Passes 370
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray edged past Konyaspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 41% of the ball to Galatasaray's 59%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.78 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Konyaspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Konyaspor and 1.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Konyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 25%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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