Konyaspor 1-3 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
37%
2.63
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
4.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 36% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.0pp
37%
Draw
35%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.4pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 55%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.00/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.03
+1% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
11.5 Crosses 22.2
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
278 Passes 427
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
17.03.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.09.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
05.03.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
17.10.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
28.04.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
1-3
AWAY Galatasaray
0.32 xG 2.31
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
184 Passes 420
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray saw off Konyaspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Konyaspor had 35% of the ball to Galatasaray's 65%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.32 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Konyaspor and 1.33 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Konyaspor 1-3 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 20%, draw 37%, Galatasaray 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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