Kasımpaşa 2-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.5
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
22%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.65/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.31
+31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
22.0 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 425
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.06.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-5 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.01.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
25.04.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-3 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.12.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
04.04.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
2-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
2.29 xG 1.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
269 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa nicked a narrow win over Beşiktaş 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 45% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 55%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.29 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.50 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

Kasımpaşa 2-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 44%, draw 24%, Beşiktaş 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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