Hatayspor 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.93/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.82
+11% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
26.5 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
23.01.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.09.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
13.03.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
22.11.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
2-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.17 xG 1.19
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
249 Passes 421
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor beat Çaykur Rizespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hatayspor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hatayspor had 39% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 61%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.17 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hatayspor and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Hatayspor 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 56%, draw 20%, Çaykur Rizespor 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hatayspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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