Adana Demirspor 2-6 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 26% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 49%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.59/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.05
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
10.5 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.83 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 408
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
03.06.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
09.01.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
19.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
01.11.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
18.12.2018 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
2-6
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.38 xG 2.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
374 Passes 413
87% Pass Accuracy 92%
18 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK cruised past Adana Demirspor 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 49% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.38 to 2.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.67 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Adana Demirspor 2-6 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 27%, draw 28%, Başakşehir FK 45%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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