Başakşehir FK 0-0 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
2.74
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.7
X/2
10%
7.0
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
14%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.7 — our 24% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.50/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.71
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.6 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
406 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
09.01.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
19.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
01.11.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
18.12.2018 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TÜK
05.12.2018 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
0-0
AWAY Adana Demirspor
0.77 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
416 Passes 313
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK and Adana Demirspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Başakşehir FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 56% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.77 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.17 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Başakşehir FK 0-0 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 43%, draw 27%, Adana Demirspor 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5
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