Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samsunspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
TÜK
0-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TÜK
0-3
HT 0-3
Samsunspor
TÜK
Samsunspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Samsunspor edged past Fatih Karagümrük 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Samsunspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Samsunspor had 45% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.56 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Samsunspor's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Samsunspor and 0.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Samsunspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 38%, draw 28%, Fatih Karagümrük 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.