MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.68
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.14
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
14%
6.5
X/2
16%
4.43
X/X
16%
4.13
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
13%
3.01
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.24
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.7 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 418
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.04.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
11.11.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
20.03.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-1 HT 3-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
27.11.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
27.06.2020 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.77 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
476 Passes 352
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Trabzonspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 56% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 44%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.77 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Trabzonspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 34%, draw 29%, Trabzonspor 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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