Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Jan 2024

Çaykur Rizespor
2-0 HT 1-0
Hatayspor
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.23
X/2
10%
7.92
X/X
14%
4.71
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
16%
6.03
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çaykur Rizespor v Hatayspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.74/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.65
+10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.8 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 Passes 299
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.09.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
13.03.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
22.11.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL

Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-0
AWAY Hatayspor
0.98 xG 0.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
242 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor beat Hatayspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 41% of the ball to Hatayspor's 59%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.98 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.00 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 44%, draw 24%, Hatayspor 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor)
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