Trabzonspor 4-2 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
-24% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.2 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
418 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.05.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.04.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
11.11.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
20.03.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-1 HT 3-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
27.11.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
4-2
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.84 xG 1.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
473 Passes 297
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor beat MKE Ankaragücü 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Trabzonspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 59% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 41%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.84 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.83 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Trabzonspor 4-2 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 37%, draw 23%, MKE Ankaragücü 40%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü)
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