Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.96/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.72
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
06.08.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
03.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
24.10.2022 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.10.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
08.06.2019 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa edged past Kolos Kovalivka 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Chornomorets Odessa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.17 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolos Kovalivka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 34%, draw 26%, Kolos Kovalivka 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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