Vorskla Poltava 2-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.53/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.89
+19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
19.05.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 3-1 HT 2-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
11.11.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava saw off Obolon Kyiv 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vorskla Poltava as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 0.50 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv?

Vorskla Poltava 2-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 43%, draw 26%, Obolon Kyiv 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vorskla Poltava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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